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Risk and position sizing · Lesson 1 of 33 min read

Position sizing and risk per trade

The stop-loss tells you where the call is wrong. Position sizing decides what being wrong costs you. It is the part of every trade that is fully in your control.

Published by Investology Quant Data Services Private Limited (Investology), a SEBI-registered Research Analyst (INH000029528).
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1. Choose a risk per trade

Risk per trade is the part of your trading capital you accept losing if the stop-loss is hit. Many traders keep it to 1% or 2% of capital. The reason is arithmetic: runs of losses happen in any method, and a small risk per trade keeps a run of ten losses survivable.

Ten losses in a row, each a share of the capital left
Risk per tradeCapital left after 10 losses
0.5%about 95%
1%about 90%
2%about 82%
5%about 60%
10%about 35%

2. The formula

  1. Risk budget = capital × risk per trade.
  2. Risk per unit = entry − stop-loss for a BUY (stop-loss − entry for a SELL).
  3. Quantity = risk budget ÷ risk per unit, rounded down.
  4. Check the position value (quantity × entry) against the money and margin in your account. If it is larger, your account limits the quantity, not your risk.

3. Example: shares

Sizing a made-up BUY in shares
StepValue
Capital₹3,00,000
Risk per trade1% = ₹3,000
Entry and stop-loss250 and 241: ₹9 per share
Quantity₹3,000 ÷ ₹9 = 333 shares
Position value333 × 250 = ₹83,250

If the stop is hit, the loss is about 333 × ₹9 = ₹2,997, before costs and slippage.

4. Example: futures and MCX lots

Contracts that trade in lots are sized per lot: work out the risk on one lot, then divide the budget by it and round down. If one lot already risks more than your budget, the call does not fit your account at the risk you chose, and leaving it is a valid outcome.

Sizing in lots (made-up prices)

Value of a 1-point move per lot
Index future, lot of 65₹65
MCX Gold Mini, 100 grams₹10 (priced per 10 grams)
Stop distance
Index future, lot of 6540 points
MCX Gold Mini, 100 grams₹1,200
Risk per lot
Index future, lot of 6540 × ₹65 = ₹2,600
MCX Gold Mini, 100 grams1,200 × ₹10 = ₹12,000
Lots for ₹10,000
Index future, lot of 653 lots (₹7,800 at risk)
MCX Gold Mini, 100 gramsNone: one lot risks more than the budget
Sizing in lots (made-up prices)
TopicIndex future, lot of 65MCX Gold Mini, 100 grams
Value of a 1-point move per lot₹65₹10 (priced per 10 grams)
Stop distance40 points₹1,200
Risk per lot40 × ₹65 = ₹2,6001,200 × ₹10 = ₹12,000
Lots for ₹10,0003 lots (₹7,800 at risk)None: one lot risks more than the budget

Lot sizes are set by the exchange and revised from time to time; the Nifty 50 lot, for example, is 65 units for contracts expiring from January 2026. Check the current lot size before you size. The margin your broker blocks is separate from your risk: the loss if the stop is hit can be larger or smaller than the margin.

5. What sizing does not cover

  • Gaps: an open beyond the stop makes the loss larger than planned.
  • Related trades: several open trades in one sector, or in an index and its large stocks, can lose together. Keep a limit on your total open risk as well.
  • Costs: brokerage, STT, exchange charges, GST and stamp duty come on top.

Sources

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